I recently spoke with a business owner who was convinced there was one buyer out there who would instantly love his company and write a check.
Consumers loved the product. Reviews were strong. The brand had real pull. Two years ago, the business made very good money. Last year, revenue was down nearly 50% after the owner had serious health issues and could no longer drive the business the way he had before.
In his mind, this was easy to explain. A buyer would see the upside, understand the temporary setback, and do what he couldn’t do anymore.
That’s not how buyers think.
The owner ran the business almost entirely himself but believed he was easily replaceable because the work wasn’t highly skilled. In theory, that may have been true. In practice, no one was actually running it but him. He admitted he could have hired a management team but just never did. When he stepped back, performance collapsed. From a buyer’s perspective, that wasn’t bad luck. It was proof of a lack of operational structure.
The owner wanted an LOI first. Then he would open the books, share more data, and “tell the story.” But sophisticated buyers don’t issue LOIs on stories. They issue LOIs on evidence.
There is no incentive to lean in before the facts support that move.
Where the owner saw a temporary dip, buyers saw earnings volatility and no demonstrated path back to stable performance. The belief that “a better owner will fix this” didn’t create upside. It shifted risk to the buyer. Risk doesn’t increase value. It reduces it - or kills the deal entirely.
The real problem wasn’t the health issue. It was the expectation that past success, consumer enthusiasm, and a future explanation would carry the valuation. Buyers don’t pay for what they might improve or what used to work. They pay for the track record of what already works.
There is no buyer who will “just get it.” There are only buyers who can justify the risk they are taking with the acquisition.
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